So I have a habit of writing oversized Facebook comments that aren’t quite articles, so I’m going to start a (lazy way out) series called ‘two cents’ when I find something that I would like to blog, but can’t quite be bothered to turn into a proper article.
(The below was a comment I wrote on a political journalist’s Facebook page post; my comment is responding to another Facebook commenter)
The commenter asked the following, in response to an earlier comment I wrote about the Iran deal: “Why is a Muslim the enemy of another Muslim?! Why is Iran the enemy of other Muslim countries? Do you think it is reasonable to accept/reasonable people would accept the brutal and frankly non-islamic daesh’s rule from “fear” of another Muslim country? What is the threat? USA has Sunni allies in the region and is now only on speaking terms with Shia Iran. I’m asking for your opinion, please
(First section of my response: re ISIS)
Secondly: Daesh is a direct consequence of a few things: 1) US destruction of Iraq as a predmediated genocidal policy starting not in 2003 but in 1990, 2) the ending of that period by the installation of a sectarian regime in Baghdad backed by the US and Iran that alienated Sunnis, 3) Western procastination and eventual betrayal of promises of support for the Syrians fighting the government there leading to massive anti-Western feeling and attractiveness of extremist groups. The US has bombed not only ISIS, which unpaltable as the fact may be has a degree of popular support (because its seen as finally an organised response to Iranian-sponsored regimes and is also highly efficient in running a state), but also mainstream rebel factions in Syria, including the biggest one, the Islamic Front. If my tone wasn’t as yet clear, I despise Daesh, was trying to bring attention to them when no one cared when they were attacking rebels in Syria simultaneously with the regime; in short I attacked them (you can see my timeline) long before anyone else
Three: Daesh was a predicted consequence of the genocidal policies of the Syrian regime and its sectarian loyalist militias, which has wiped off cities from the map, a cowardly regime that would have liberated Palestine in its entirety if it turned 1% of the force it used against its population against Israel. It is a predicted consequence of the world abandoning the daily-bombarded Syria entirely, and only waking up when the men with beards showed up. As in Iraq, there was a popular uprising that occurred against the sectarian policies of Maliki in 2012, it was peaceful, it was cracked down upon by the US-Iranian armed Iraqi government, ISIS consequently hijacked that revolution. However, the fact remains that ISIS is tolerated because it is seen by many as preferable to being under control of the Iraqi government.
It surprises me that so many people find the US position so difficult to understand. Its called a trap. What the US has done in Syria it has done repeatedly before, it essentially gives ‘green light’ (although it would be a mistake to take people’s agency away nonetheless) to certain movements and then betrays/abandons support when chaos hits. Historical examples include supporting the Shia uprising in Iraq in 1991 and encouraging it (diplomatically) but never coming (militarily) to aid of the uprising, allowing it to be crushed by Saddam; another couple of examples is encouraging Saddam to attack Iran in 1980 before ending up the conflict by selling weapons to Iran (see Iran-contra affair), and also giving a green light to Saddam’s invasion of Kuwait in 1990 (see famous ‘We have no opinion on internal Arab-Arab affairs’ quote, said by a US ambassador when an Iraqi official asked her of her government’s opinion on an Iraqi invasion of Kuwait). When dealing with areas under imperialist spheres I would advise people to a) study what the people on the ground are saying/doing, because they have agency and to act on an assumption otherwise is imperialist and orientalist in itself, and b) to study concrete imperialist policy, not the mirages put up by diplomatic statements.
Finally, I would like to note that Iran could have become one of the main beneficiaries of the 2011 Arab movements if it acted in a different way and indeed could have swept the carpet completely from under Saudi Arabia’s feet (as the representative of Muslims). It is forgotten but Saudi Arabia was at the beginning opposed to all the uprisings, including in Syria (where protesters used to chant against the silence of Arab states); if the Iranian regime had swept in at that point and supported the cause of the Muslim masses there, whom it theoretically had much more in common with than a secular vehemently anti-religious regime, it would’ve made its popularity concrete and essentially completely disarmed sectarianists on the Sunni side, for it would’ve shown that its loyalty was Islamic, not sectarian. Of course, what happened instead is that Iran backed up the most secular regime in the Arab world against, with a great deal of irony, an opposition which is very ‘Islamic republic’ in image (not to say that it would represent the same substance of the Iranian form).
The fact that it did this, unfortunately, proved that it is a sectarian and reactionary regime, and made a mockery of its theoretically ‘non-sectarian’ ‘Islamic republic’ credentials. Ultimately, it is that fact which in my opinion, that it proved itself to be a status-quo power with no “Islamic” potential to unite the Muslim world which has led to the rapproachment we are seeing today. The US will support any regime that does not threaten Muslim unification, be they secular or ostensibly Islamic in nature; Saudi has traditionally not threatened Muslim unification and this is why it has been an ally, Iran has just proved those credentials now, as well as fighting a popular, Islam-oriented (just Sunni) movement. It is inconceivable, regardless of one’s slant on Iran, that the US would otherwise choose to support -rather than curtail- Iran at the precise specific moment that its influence has expanded on an unprecedented scale across the region, a fact which no one, supporter or opponent, can deny. In the absence of a credible explanation (to my mind) that says that the US doing so because of humanitarian concerns for the Iranian people, and in the absence of a credible explanation (to my mind) that says that this is merely a coincidental event, this highly conspicuous fact would seem to back up my analysis.