The below is a Facebook post which I wrote re the event of a hung parliament, and Labour carrying out Miliband’s vow not to do any deals (coalition or otherwise) with the SNP (and relying on challenging the SNP to vote down a Labour Queen’s speech):
‘SNP (and its voters) being blackmailed to support a Labour Queen Speech (with no deal) or risk another election in which the Tories win. I think they should stand firm – meaning that if Labour refuse to compromise they should strike their speech down, even if it means triggering another election (and Brits get peed off). They would however have to make that absolutely clear beforehand (unfortunately time’s almost run out) and put the argument across efficiently, that they would not sell out their manifesto (which is to ‘stand up for Scotland’) if Labour does not want to listen to them. They should state, in no uncertain terms, that their concern is Scotland, not Labour vs Conservative. And if people do not agree with that, then they should not vote SNP.
In a trigger election two scenarios can occur: If the SNP look set again to win the same number of seats (or thereabouts), then a) this will show the resistance nature of the Scottish electorate to British blackmail and b) Labour will have a choice: to make a deal with the SNP, risk a Conservative majority or, if neither are again able to form a government by themselves even go into ‘grand coalition’ (they would have nothing in principle against doing that since they’re intrinsic sell outs, though it would destroy them electorally). This would likely destroy beyond any shred of hope Labour’s position North of the border and offer a boost to independence.
Meanwhile if the other scenario takes place (unfortunately the more likely one I expect) that the SNP loses seats to Labour in another election, then the SNP would have nothing to lose (it did what it could and what it promised to do, and the rejection of its massive vote would serve its argument well: ‘see? they told us Scotland has a say in running the UK, and yet they literally threw away more than half [potentially] of Scotland’s votes’). Incidentally people changing their votes in that case would not mean that they were angry at the SNP, to the contrary, they would probably do so ‘apologetically’ simply because they did not want to risk a Conservative government – nonetheless you can still expect the SNP’s local popularity to rise (like it did when they lost the independence referendum) for staying true to their principles. The potential downside of a shift to Conservative in England in such a scenario, meanwhile, will simply be a massive boost to independence.
SNP letting Labour in with no compromises may not be quite the same as doing a 2010 Lib-Dem, but they should stay firm to their manifesto/promises nonetheless, otherwise they lose what makes them different.’